Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.880679 1.029639 1.195902 1.395229 1.627738 1.890448 2.209933
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.654715 0.855633 1.105650 1.439646 1.874402 2.421608 3.163617
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.521027 0.737293 1.028125 1.447872 2.038745 2.841965 4.019182
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.427339 0.645023 0.956771 1.435831 2.154397 3.194096 4.817081
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.360861 0.575899 0.901046 1.428515 2.264271 3.540447 5.644066
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.314677 0.527822 0.866119 1.442128 2.400573 3.936162 6.593518
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.265695 0.466374 0.799292 1.391737 2.422553 4.148117 7.269719
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.250904 0.459293 0.819421 1.486990 2.697439 4.807453 8.784304
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.217051 0.413253 0.765543 1.444030 2.722729 5.037831 9.572009
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.187800 0.371063 0.712202 1.393324 2.724596 5.222547 10.295167
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.164055 0.335747 0.666464 1.349749 2.732174 5.415482 11.054841
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.151135 0.319838 0.655555 1.372131 2.870385 5.873839 12.395838
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146398 0.320474 0.678459 1.468121 3.174945 6.709749 14.643283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.136995 0.309994 0.677410 1.514421 3.383414 7.379490 16.643195
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.125447 0.293061 0.660236 1.523047 3.510896 7.893466 18.374300
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.113686 0.273850 0.635307 1.510380 3.588034 8.305580 19.930050
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.103676 0.257244 0.613928 1.502684 3.675048 8.750087 21.622189
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096203 0.245647 0.602549 1.517003 3.815953 9.336758 23.736842
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085539 0.224590 0.565779 1.463999 3.784727 9.509057 24.851649
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084421 0.227721 0.588669 1.564192 4.152271 10.703701 28.731775
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.075867 0.210116 0.557033 1.519004 4.138010 10.937748 30.136894
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.067872 0.192874 0.524055 1.465668 4.094739 11.091231 31.347980
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061072 0.177963 0.495292 1.419832 4.065574 11.278123 32.678259